USA - USA: MLSFootball · Match analysis

Chicago Fire vs Vancouver Whitecaps — prediction 07.10.2026

Chicago Fire

Home
Full time3:1 Europe/Prague

Vancouver Whitecaps

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
94.7%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
94.7%
Fair market
95.2%
Edge
-0.5 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Chicago Fire: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 4 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 11. Both teams scored in 6 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.

Vancouver Whitecaps: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 15; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 5. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 94.7%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -0.5 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=94.7% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=94.7% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ch

Chicago Fire

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DDDLDW
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
1
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
11
Scored / match
1.83
Conceded / match
1.83
Clean sheets0/6Both scored6/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Chicago Fire
DateTeams / goalsResult for Chicago Fire
HomeChicago Fire1 AwayInter Miami1 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeToronto FC4 AwayChicago Fire4 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeSeattle Sounders2 AwayChicago Fire2 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeMonterrey2 AwayChicago Fire1 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup - Play Offs L
HomeNew York Red Bulls1 AwayChicago Fire1 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeChicago Fire2 AwayPortland Timbers1 USA - USA: MLS W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Chicago Fire.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Va

Vancouver Whitecaps

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWLWWW
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals scored
15
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
2.50
Conceded / match
0.83
Clean sheets4/6Both scored2/63+ total goals5/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Vancouver Whitecaps
DateTeams / goalsResult for Vancouver Whitecaps
HomeVancouver Whitecaps1 AwayAustin FC2 USA - USA: MLS L
HomeVancouver Whitecaps3 AwayLos Angeles Galaxy0 USA - USA: MLS W
HomeVancouver Whitecaps1 AwaySt. Louis City3 USA - USA: MLS L
HomeSporting Kansas City0 AwayVancouver Whitecaps3 USA - USA: MLS W
HomeVancouver Whitecaps5 AwayFC Dallas0 USA - USA: MLS W
HomeSeattle Sounders0 AwayVancouver Whitecaps2 USA - USA: MLS W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Vancouver Whitecaps.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
07.10.2026 ↗
Imported
07.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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