USA - USA: MLSFootball · Match analysis

Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami — prediction 10.09.2026

Chicago Fire

Home
Full time1:1 Europe/Prague

Inter Miami

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Chicago Fire: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 12; conceded: 11. Both teams scored in 6 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 5. The sample contains 1 home and 5 away games.

Inter Miami: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 12; conceded: 8. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 4 home and 0 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 97.3%; the recorded decision is recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=97.5% | нормализовано (n=5/5, lambda upper-tail 5.04->4.12, λ=4.12); ожидаемые голы=4.12; P00_fused=2.8% (model=4.1%, market=2.1%) | market c...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ch

Chicago Fire

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DDLDWW
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals scored
12
Goals conceded
11
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
1.83
Clean sheets0/6Both scored6/63+ total goals5/6

Sample: home 1 · away 5. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Chicago Fire
DateTeams / goalsResult for Chicago Fire
HomeToronto FC4 AwayChicago Fire4 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeSeattle Sounders2 AwayChicago Fire2 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeMonterrey2 AwayChicago Fire1 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup - Play Offs L
HomeNew York Red Bulls1 AwayChicago Fire1 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeChicago Fire2 AwayPortland Timbers1 USA - USA: MLS W
HomeCruz Azul1 AwayChicago Fire2 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Chicago Fire.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

In

Inter Miami

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWLL
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored
12
Goals conceded
8
Scored / match
3.00
Conceded / match
2.00
Clean sheets0/4Both scored4/43+ total goals4/4

Sample: home 4 · away 0. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Inter Miami
DateTeams / goalsResult for Inter Miami
HomeInter Miami2 AwayAtlanta Utd2 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeInter Miami7 AwayCF Montreal1 USA - USA: MLS W
HomeInter Miami1 AwayToronto FC2 USA - USA: MLS L
HomeInter Miami2 AwayClub Leon3 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Inter Miami.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
10.09.2026 ↗
Imported
10.09.2026 00:03
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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