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How the BetData AI football prediction algorithm works

Every prediction is generated before kick-off. The algorithm compares independent statistical signals, estimates market probabilities and then applies data-quality and risk filters.

Data used by the model

The model analyzes recent team form, separate home and away performance, head-to-head matches, goals scored and conceded, xG, available market odds and source-data coverage. Postponed, cancelled and unsuitable fixtures are filtered out.

From probability to recommendation

A high probability does not automatically become a recommended pick. The forecast must pass cross-market consistency, sample-size, nil-nil and one-goal risk, price-quality and other safety checks. This is why the public probability table contains more matches than the green recommendation cards.

Pre-match information only

The calculation must not use information that became known after kick-off. This reduces data leakage and keeps each published probability a genuine pre-match estimate.

How to read a prediction

A percentage is a model estimate, not a guarantee. A recommended card shows the market, algorithm selection and probability. Other fixtures are available in the market comparison table.

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