Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Division ProfesionalFootball · Match analysis

Real Potosi vs The Strongest — prediction 11.10.2026

Real Potosi

Home
Scheduled kick-off21:00 Europe/Prague

The Strongest

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
91.6%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
91.6%
Fair market
93.6%
Edge
-2.0 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Real Potosi: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 9. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

The Strongest: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 12; conceded: 8. Both teams scored in 6 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 91.6%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -2.0 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): O0.5 blocked after historical calibration: negative priced EV (calibrated=94.1%, odds=1.030, break-even=97.1%, EV=-3.1%; August PARI validation 23W/3L, ROI=-10.0%)

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Re

Real Potosi

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDWLWD
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
9
Scored / match
1.83
Conceded / match
1.50
Clean sheets1/6Both scored4/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Real Potosi
DateTeams / goalsResult for Real Potosi
HomeReal Potosi4 AwaySA Bulo Bulo2 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena W
HomeReal Potosi1 AwayAurora1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena D
HomeReal Potosi3 AwayAcademia del Balompie1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena W
HomeSA Bulo Bulo3 AwayReal Potosi0 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena L
HomeNacional Potosi0 AwayReal Potosi1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena W
HomeReal Potosi2 AwayNacional Potosi2 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Real Potosi.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Th

The Strongest

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWDWDW
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
12
Goals conceded
8
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
1.33
Clean sheets0/6Both scored6/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · The Strongest
DateTeams / goalsResult for The Strongest
HomeGuabira2 AwayThe Strongest1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena L
HomeThe Strongest5 AwayUniversitario de Vinto2 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena W
HomeOriente Petrolero1 AwayThe Strongest1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena D
HomeThe Strongest2 AwayGuabira1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena W
HomeThe Strongest1 AwayBolivar1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena D
HomeAcademia del Balompie1 AwayThe Strongest2 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Division Profesional W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to The Strongest.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
11.10.2026 ↗
Imported
11.10.2026 01:10
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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