Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa PacenaFootball · Match analysis

The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto — prediction 04.10.2026

The Strongest

Home
Full time5:2 Europe/Prague

Universitario de Vinto

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

The Strongest: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 13; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Universitario de Vinto: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 13; conceded: 9. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 5. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 93.3%; the recorded decision is recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=93.3% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=93.3% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Th

The Strongest

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWDWWW
Wins
4
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals scored
13
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
2.17
Conceded / match
0.83
Clean sheets1/6Both scored5/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · The Strongest
DateTeams / goalsResult for The Strongest
HomeOriente Petrolero1 AwayThe Strongest1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena D
HomeThe Strongest2 AwayGuabira1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena W
HomeThe Strongest1 AwayBolivar1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena D
HomeAcademia del Balompie1 AwayThe Strongest2 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Division Profesional W
HomeThe Strongest5 AwayReal Oruro0 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Division Profesional W
HomeUniversitario de Vinto1 AwayThe Strongest2 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to The Strongest.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Un

Universitario de Vinto

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWLDWL
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored
13
Goals conceded
9
Scored / match
2.17
Conceded / match
1.50
Clean sheets1/6Both scored5/63+ total goals5/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Universitario de Vinto
DateTeams / goalsResult for Universitario de Vinto
HomeUniversitario de Vinto3 AwayGuabira1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena W
HomeUniversitario de Vinto3 AwayOriente Petrolero0 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena W
HomeAurora4 AwayUniversitario de Vinto2 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena L
HomeBlooming1 AwayUniversitario de Vinto1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Division Profesional D
HomeUniversitario de Vinto3 AwayIndependiente1 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Division Profesional W
HomeUniversitario de Vinto1 AwayThe Strongest2 Bolivia - BOLIVIA: Copa Pacena L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Universitario de Vinto.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

2 matches in archive window
Head-to-head results, home team first
DateHomeScoreAway
10.09.26Universitario de Vinto1–2The Strongest
22.08.26The Strongest4–3Universitario de Vinto

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
04.10.2026 ↗
Imported
04.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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