England - ENGLAND: Premier LeagueFootball · Match analysis

Leeds vs Crystal Palace — prediction 20.09.2026

Leeds

Home
Full time0:0 Europe/Prague

Crystal Palace

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
95.2%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
95.2%
Fair market
92.4%
Edge
+2.8 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Leeds: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 12; conceded: 9. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.

Crystal Palace: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 13; conceded: 11. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 5. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 95.2%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +2.8 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): cross-market: минимум 1 гол следует из зелёного 1Т ТБ0.5, ТБ1.5; статус 'нет' относится к отдельной ставке ТБ0.5, а не к прогнозу 0:0 | whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=95....

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Le

Leeds

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLDDWW
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
12
Goals conceded
9
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
1.50
Clean sheets2/6Both scored4/63+ total goals2/6

Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Leeds
DateTeams / goalsResult for Leeds
HomeLeeds4 AwayNewcastle1 England - ENGLAND: Premier League W
HomeChelsea6 AwayLeeds3 England - ENGLAND: EFL Cup L
HomeBrighton1 AwayLeeds1 England - ENGLAND: Premier League D
HomeLeeds1 AwayBrentford1 England - ENGLAND: Premier League D
HomeNottingham0 AwayLeeds2 England - ENGLAND: EFL Cup W
HomeNottingham0 AwayLeeds1 England - ENGLAND: Premier League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Leeds.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Cr

Crystal Palace

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLWWLL
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals scored
13
Goals conceded
11
Scored / match
2.17
Conceded / match
1.83
Clean sheets2/6Both scored3/63+ total goals5/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Crystal Palace
DateTeams / goalsResult for Crystal Palace
HomeCrystal Palace4 AwayLech Poznan0 Europe - EUROPE: Europa League - League phase W
HomeCrystal Palace2 AwayIpswich3 England - ENGLAND: Premier League L
HomeCrystal Palace3 AwayMiddlesbrough0 England - ENGLAND: EFL Cup W
HomeFulham2 AwayCrystal Palace3 England - ENGLAND: Premier League W
HomeCrystal Palace1 AwayManchester City4 England - ENGLAND: Premier League L
HomeEverton2 AwayCrystal Palace0 England - ENGLAND: Premier League L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Crystal Palace.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
20.09.2026 ↗
Imported
20.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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