Both teams to score
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Europe - EUROPE: Europa League - League phaseFootball · Match analysis
Crystal Palace vs Lech Poznan — prediction 17.09.2026
Crystal Palace
Home
Full time4:0
Europe/Prague
Lech Poznan
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
93.5%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 93.5%
- Fair market
- 93.6%
- Edge
- -0.2 pp
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Crystal Palace: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 11. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.
Lech Poznan: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 1 home and 2 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 93.5%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -0.2 percentage points.
Recorded reason (original source wording): cross-market: минимум 1 гол следует из зелёного 1Т ТБ0.5; статус 'нет' относится к отдельной ставке ТБ0.5, а не к прогнозу 0:0 | whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=93.5% | wh...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Cr
Crystal Palace
Home team · 5 matches in sampleRecent → older
LWWLL
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 3
- Goals scored
- 9
- Goals conceded
- 11
- Scored / match
- 1.80
- Conceded / match
- 2.20
Clean sheets1/5Both scored3/53+ total goals4/5
Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| HomeCrystal Palace2 AwayIpswich3 England - ENGLAND: Premier League | L | |
| HomeCrystal Palace3 AwayMiddlesbrough0 England - ENGLAND: EFL Cup | W | |
| HomeFulham2 AwayCrystal Palace3 England - ENGLAND: Premier League | W | |
| HomeCrystal Palace1 AwayManchester City4 England - ENGLAND: Premier League | L | |
| HomeEverton2 AwayCrystal Palace0 England - ENGLAND: Premier League | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Crystal Palace.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Le
Lech Poznan
Away team · 3 matches in sampleRecent → older
LWW
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 5
- Goals conceded
- 4
- Scored / match
- 1.67
- Conceded / match
- 1.33
Clean sheets1/3Both scored2/33+ total goals2/3
Sample: home 1 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Lech Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| HomeGornik Zabrze2 AwayLech Poznan1 Poland - POLAND: Ekstraklasa | L | |
| HomeLech Poznan1 AwayRakow0 Poland - POLAND: Ekstraklasa | W | |
| HomeWidzew Lodz2 AwayLech Poznan3 Poland - POLAND: Ekstraklasa | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Lech Poznan.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 17.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 17.09.2026 00:01
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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