Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stageFootball · Match analysis

Floresta EC vs Santa Cruz — prediction 26.09.2026

Floresta EC

Home
Full time1:1 Europe/Prague

Santa Cruz

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
81.3%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
81.3%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Floresta EC: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Santa Cruz: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 2. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 0. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 81.3%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=81.3% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=81.3% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Fl

Floresta EC

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWLWWW
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
3
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
0.50
Clean sheets3/6Both scored1/63+ total goals1/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Floresta EC
DateTeams / goalsResult for Floresta EC
HomeSanta Cruz1 AwayFloresta EC0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage L
HomeBotafogo PB0 AwayFloresta EC1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage W
HomeFloresta EC0 AwayMaringa FC1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage L
HomeFloresta EC2 AwayItuano0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage W
HomeVolta Redonda1 AwayFloresta EC2 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage W
HomeFloresta EC1 AwayAnapolis0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Floresta EC.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Sa

Santa Cruz

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWWDWL
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
2
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
0.33
Clean sheets4/6Both scored1/63+ total goals0/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Santa Cruz
DateTeams / goalsResult for Santa Cruz
HomeSanta Cruz1 AwayFloresta EC0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage W
HomeMaringa FC0 AwaySanta Cruz1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage W
HomeSanta Cruz1 AwayBotafogo PB0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage W
HomeAnapolis1 AwaySanta Cruz1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage D
HomeSanta Cruz2 AwaySER Caxias0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage W
HomeSanta Cruz0 AwayMaranhao1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Santa Cruz.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

1 matches in archive window
Head-to-head results, home team first
DateHomeScoreAway
20.09.26Santa Cruz1–0Floresta EC

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
26.09.2026 ↗
Imported
26.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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