Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stageFootball · Match analysis

Botafogo PB vs Floresta EC — prediction 12.09.2026

Botafogo PB

Home
Full time0:1 Europe/Prague

Floresta EC

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
88.0%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
87.4%
Fair market
85.5%
Edge
+2.5 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Botafogo PB: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 2. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 1 home and 2 away games.

Floresta EC: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 2. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 3 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 88.0%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +2.5 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=87.4% | нормализовано (n=5/5, λ=2.56); ожидаемые голы=2.56; P00_fused=13.0% (model=11.3%, market=14.5%)

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Bo

Botafogo PB

Home team · 3 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWW
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
2
Scored / match
1.67
Conceded / match
0.67
Clean sheets1/3Both scored1/33+ total goals1/3

Sample: home 1 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Botafogo PB
DateTeams / goalsResult for Botafogo PB
HomeSanta Cruz1 AwayBotafogo PB0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage L
HomeItabaiana0 AwayBotafogo PB2 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage W
HomeBotafogo PB3 AwayGuarani1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Botafogo PB.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Fl

Floresta EC

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWWW
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
2
Scored / match
1.25
Conceded / match
0.50
Clean sheets2/4Both scored1/43+ total goals1/4

Sample: home 3 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Floresta EC
DateTeams / goalsResult for Floresta EC
HomeFloresta EC0 AwayMaringa FC1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - Second stage L
HomeFloresta EC2 AwayItuano0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage W
HomeVolta Redonda1 AwayFloresta EC2 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage W
HomeFloresta EC1 AwayAnapolis0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Floresta EC.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
12.09.2026 ↗
Imported
12.09.2026 10:09
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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