Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera BFootball · Match analysis

UAI Urquiza vs Excursionistas — prediction 19.09.2026

UAI Urquiza

Home
Full time1:2 Europe/Prague

Excursionistas

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

First half over 0.5

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match over 0.5

Not recommended
79.9%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
79.9%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match over 2.5

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Handicap

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Team to score

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match total under

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Home / away win

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

UAI Urquiza: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses. Goals scored: 3; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 0. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Excursionistas: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 79.9%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=79.9% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=79.9% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

UA

UAI Urquiza

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWLLDL
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
4
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
0.50
Conceded / match
1.17
Clean sheets1/6Both scored1/63+ total goals0/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · UAI Urquiza
DateTeams / goalsResult for UAI Urquiza
HomeArsenal Sarandi2 AwayUAI Urquiza0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B L
HomeUAI Urquiza2 AwayArgentino de Merlo0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B W
HomeTalleres (R.E)1 AwayUAI Urquiza0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B L
HomeUAI Urquiza0 AwayLaferrere2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B L
HomeBrown Adrogue1 AwayUAI Urquiza1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B D
HomeUAI Urquiza0 AwayDeportivo Armenio1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to UAI Urquiza.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ex

Excursionistas

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWLWW
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored
9
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.80
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets2/5Both scored2/53+ total goals4/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Excursionistas
DateTeams / goalsResult for Excursionistas
HomeExcursionistas3 AwayVilla Dalmine0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B W
HomeExcursionistas2 AwayItuzaingo1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B W
HomeArsenal Sarandi3 AwayExcursionistas0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B L
HomeExcursionistas2 AwayArgentino de Merlo0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B W
HomeTalleres (R.E)1 AwayExcursionistas2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Excursionistas.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
19.09.2026 ↗
Imported
19.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

AI Premium

Go deeper into the model's analysis

The advanced summary is available with AI Premium.

View AI Premium →