Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera BFootball · Match analysis

Arsenal Sarandi vs UAI Urquiza — prediction 12.09.2026

Arsenal Sarandi

Home
Full time2:0 Europe/Prague

UAI Urquiza

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
86.4%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
86.3%
Fair market
86.2%
Edge
+0.2 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Arsenal Sarandi: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 0. Both teams scored in 0 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.

UAI Urquiza: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 3; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 0. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 86.4%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.2 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=86.3% | риск 0:0: P(0:0)=16.5% + слабая атака (scored=0%, gf=0.00)

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ar

Arsenal Sarandi

Home team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWWD
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
0
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
0.00
Clean sheets4/4Both scored0/43+ total goals1/4

Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Arsenal Sarandi
DateTeams / goalsResult for Arsenal Sarandi
HomeVilla Dalmine0 AwayArsenal Sarandi1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B W
HomeArsenal Sarandi3 AwayExcursionistas0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B W
HomeArsenal Sarandi2 AwayItuzaingo0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B W
HomeArgentino de Merlo0 AwayArsenal Sarandi0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Arsenal Sarandi.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

UA

UAI Urquiza

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLLDL
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
0.60
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets1/5Both scored1/53+ total goals0/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · UAI Urquiza
DateTeams / goalsResult for UAI Urquiza
HomeUAI Urquiza2 AwayArgentino de Merlo0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B W
HomeTalleres (R.E)1 AwayUAI Urquiza0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B L
HomeUAI Urquiza0 AwayLaferrere2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B L
HomeBrown Adrogue1 AwayUAI Urquiza1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B D
HomeUAI Urquiza0 AwayDeportivo Armenio1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera B L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to UAI Urquiza.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
12.09.2026 ↗
Imported
12.09.2026 10:09
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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