Both teams to score
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Colombia - COLOMBIA: Copa Colombia - Second stageFootball · Match analysis
Santa Fe vs Fortaleza — prediction 11.10.2026
Santa Fe
Home
Scheduled kick-off21:00
Europe/Prague
Fortaleza
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
87.0%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 87.0%
- Fair market
- —
- Edge
- —
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Santa Fe: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.
Fortaleza: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 5 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 87.0%; the recorded decision is not recommended.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=87.0% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=87.0% | common goal risk: zero filter strict: O0.5 depends on weak win/team-goal scenario witho...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Sa
Santa Fe
Home team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
WWDLWW
- Wins
- 4
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 9
- Goals conceded
- 4
- Scored / match
- 1.50
- Conceded / match
- 0.67
Clean sheets2/6Both scored3/63+ total goals2/6
Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| HomeInd. Medellin0 AwaySanta Fe1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura | W | |
| HomePereira1 AwaySanta Fe2 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura | W | |
| HomeU. Magdalena1 AwaySanta Fe1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Copa Colombia - First stage - Play Offs | D | |
| HomeSanta Fe0 AwayDep. Cali1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura | L | |
| HomeAlianza1 AwaySanta Fe4 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura | W | |
| HomeSanta Fe1 AwayDeportes Tolima0 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Santa Fe.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Fo
Fortaleza
Away team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
DWDDDD
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 5
- Losses
- 0
- Goals scored
- 7
- Goals conceded
- 6
- Scored / match
- 1.17
- Conceded / match
- 1.00
Clean sheets2/6Both scored4/63+ total goals2/6
Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Fortaleza |
|---|---|---|
| HomeFortaleza1 AwayMillonarios1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura | D | |
| HomeAmerica MG0 AwayFortaleza1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B | W | |
| HomeDep. Pasto0 AwayFortaleza0 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura | D | |
| HomeFortaleza1 AwayNautico1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B | D | |
| HomeFortaleza2 AwayDeportes Tolima2 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura | D | |
| HomeFortaleza2 AwayAthletic Club2 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B | D |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Fortaleza.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
1 matches in archive window| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06.09.26 | Santa Fe | 2–2 | Fortaleza |
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 11.10.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 11.10.2026 01:10
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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