Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - ClausuraFootball · Match analysis

Pereira vs Santa Fe — prediction 29.09.2026

Pereira

Home
Full time1:2 Europe/Prague

Santa Fe

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
80.5%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
80.5%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Pereira: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 13. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Santa Fe: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 80.5%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=80.5% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=80.5% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Pe

Pereira

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DDLLDL
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
3
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
13
Scored / match
0.83
Conceded / match
2.17
Clean sheets1/6Both scored4/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Pereira
DateTeams / goalsResult for Pereira
HomePereira0 AwayInter Bogotá0 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura D
HomeAguilas2 AwayPereira2 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura D
HomePereira1 AwayBucaramanga3 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura L
HomeAmerica De Cali4 AwayPereira1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Copa Colombia - Second stage L
HomePereira1 AwayMillonarios1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura D
HomePereira0 AwayInd. Medellin3 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Pereira.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Sa

Santa Fe

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DLWWDD
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.33
Conceded / match
0.83
Clean sheets2/6Both scored3/63+ total goals2/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Santa Fe
DateTeams / goalsResult for Santa Fe
HomeU. Magdalena1 AwaySanta Fe1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Copa Colombia - First stage - Play Offs D
HomeSanta Fe0 AwayDep. Cali1 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura L
HomeAlianza1 AwaySanta Fe4 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura W
HomeSanta Fe1 AwayDeportes Tolima0 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura W
HomeSanta Fe2 AwayFortaleza2 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura D
HomeSanta Fe0 AwayAmerica De Cali0 Colombia - COLOMBIA: Primera A - Clausura D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Santa Fe.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
29.09.2026 ↗
Imported
29.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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