Both teams to score
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Estonia - ESTONIA: EsiliigaFootball · Match analysis
Maardu vs Tallinna Kalev — prediction 13.09.2026
Maardu
Home
Scheduled kick-off11:30
Europe/Prague
Tallinna Kalev
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
95.7%model probability
Recommended selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 95.7%
- Fair market
- —
- Edge
- —
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Maardu: 2 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 0 home and 2 away games.
Tallinna Kalev: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 10; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 0 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 95.7%; the recorded decision is recommended.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=95.7% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=95.7% | нормализовано (n=5/5, lambda upper-tail 3.76->3.15, λ=3.15); ожидаемые голы=3.15; P00_f...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Ma
Maardu
Home team · 2 matches in sampleRecent → older
LW
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 5
- Goals conceded
- 5
- Scored / match
- 2.50
- Conceded / match
- 2.50
Clean sheets0/2Both scored2/23+ total goals2/2
Sample: home 0 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Maardu |
|---|---|---|
| HomeFC Tallinn4 AwayMaardu2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Esiliiga | L | |
| HomeTallinna Kalev1 AwayMaardu3 Estonia - ESTONIA: Esiliiga | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Maardu.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Ta
Tallinna Kalev
Away team · 3 matches in sampleRecent → older
DLW
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 10
- Goals conceded
- 4
- Scored / match
- 3.33
- Conceded / match
- 1.33
Clean sheets1/3Both scored2/33+ total goals2/3
Sample: home 3 · away 0. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Tallinna Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| HomeTallinna Kalev1 AwayTartu Welco1 Estonia - ESTONIA: Esiliiga | D | |
| HomeTallinna Kalev1 AwayMaardu3 Estonia - ESTONIA: Esiliiga | L | |
| HomeTallinna Kalev8 AwayTartu Kalev0 Estonia - ESTONIA: Estonian Cup | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Tallinna Kalev.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
1 matches in archive window| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24.08.26 | Tallinna Kalev | 1–3 | Maardu |
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 13.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 13.09.2026 00:01
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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