Both teams to score
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Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Play OffsFootball · Match analysis
Olimpo Bahia Blanca vs San Martin Formosa — prediction 11.10.2026
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Home
Scheduled kick-off21:00
Europe/Prague
San Martin Formosa
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
83.0%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 83.0%
- Fair market
- —
- Edge
- —
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Olimpo Bahia Blanca: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.
San Martin Formosa: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 83.0%; the recorded decision is not recommended.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=83.0% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=83.0% | нормализовано (n=5/5, λ=1.88); ожидаемые голы=1.88; P00_fused=13.5%
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Ol
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Home team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
WDDLWW
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 7
- Goals conceded
- 4
- Scored / match
- 1.17
- Conceded / match
- 0.67
Clean sheets2/6Both scored3/63+ total goals1/6
Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Olimpo Bahia Blanca |
|---|---|---|
| HomeOlimpo Bahia Blanca2 AwayChivilcoy1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Play Offs | W | |
| HomeAlvarado1 AwayOlimpo Bahia Blanca1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | D | |
| HomeOlimpo Bahia Blanca1 AwayCipolletti1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | D | |
| HomeBiblioteca Atenas1 AwayOlimpo Bahia Blanca0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeOlimpo Bahia Blanca1 AwayKimberley0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W | |
| HomeOlimpo Bahia Blanca2 AwayVilla Mitre0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Olimpo Bahia Blanca.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Sa
San Martin Formosa
Away team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
DWDWLW
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 7
- Goals conceded
- 3
- Scored / match
- 1.17
- Conceded / match
- 0.50
Clean sheets3/6Both scored2/63+ total goals2/6
Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| HomeSan Martin Formosa1 AwayBiblioteca Atenas1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Play Offs | D | |
| HomeBiblioteca Atenas0 AwaySan Martin Formosa1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Play Offs | W | |
| HomeBartolome Mitre0 AwaySan Martin Formosa0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | D | |
| HomeSan Martin Formosa3 AwaySarmiento de La Banda0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W | |
| HomeDefensores Belgrano VR1 AwaySan Martin Formosa0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeSan Martin Formosa2 Away9 de Julio Rafaela1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to San Martin Formosa.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 11.10.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 11.10.2026 01:10
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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