Both teams to score
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Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Play OffsFootball · Match analysis
San Martin Formosa vs Biblioteca Atenas — prediction 04.10.2026
San Martin Formosa
Home
Full time1:1
Europe/Prague
Biblioteca Atenas
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
87.9%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 87.9%
- Fair market
- —
- Edge
- —
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
San Martin Formosa: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.
Biblioteca Atenas: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 87.9%; the recorded decision is not recommended.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=87.9% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=87.9% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Sa
San Martin Formosa
Home team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
WDWLWD
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 7
- Goals conceded
- 3
- Scored / match
- 1.17
- Conceded / match
- 0.50
Clean sheets3/6Both scored2/63+ total goals2/6
Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for San Martin Formosa |
|---|---|---|
| HomeBiblioteca Atenas0 AwaySan Martin Formosa1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Play Offs | W | |
| HomeBartolome Mitre0 AwaySan Martin Formosa0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | D | |
| HomeSan Martin Formosa3 AwaySarmiento de La Banda0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W | |
| HomeDefensores Belgrano VR1 AwaySan Martin Formosa0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeSan Martin Formosa2 Away9 de Julio Rafaela1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W | |
| HomeChivilcoy1 AwaySan Martin Formosa1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | D |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to San Martin Formosa.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Bi
Biblioteca Atenas
Away team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
LLWLWW
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 3
- Goals scored
- 8
- Goals conceded
- 7
- Scored / match
- 1.33
- Conceded / match
- 1.17
Clean sheets1/6Both scored3/63+ total goals3/6
Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Biblioteca Atenas |
|---|---|---|
| HomeBiblioteca Atenas0 AwaySan Martin Formosa1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Play Offs | L | |
| HomeHuracan Las Heras1 AwayBiblioteca Atenas0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeBiblioteca Atenas3 AwayJuventud Antoniana1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W | |
| HomeAlvarado3 AwayBiblioteca Atenas2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeBiblioteca Atenas1 AwayOlimpo Bahia Blanca0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W | |
| HomeBiblioteca Atenas2 AwayKimberley1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Biblioteca Atenas.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
1 matches in archive window| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28.09.26 | Biblioteca Atenas | 0–1 | San Martin Formosa |
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 04.10.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 04.10.2026 00:01
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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