England - ENGLAND: ChampionshipFootball · Match analysis

West Brom vs Birmingham — prediction 10.10.2026

West Brom

Home
Scheduled kick-off13:30 Europe/Prague

Birmingham

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
89.7%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
89.7%
Fair market
89.6%
Edge
+0.2 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

West Brom: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Birmingham: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 15; conceded: 11. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 6. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 89.7%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.2 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=89.7% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=89.7% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

We

West Brom

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LDWWDL
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
0.83
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets2/6Both scored3/63+ total goals1/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · West Brom
DateTeams / goalsResult for West Brom
HomeWolves1 AwayWest Brom0 England - ENGLAND: Championship L
HomeWest Brom1 AwayQPR1 England - ENGLAND: Championship D
HomeDerby0 AwayWest Brom1 England - ENGLAND: Championship W
HomeWest Brom1 AwayWatford0 England - ENGLAND: Championship W
HomeWest Brom1 AwayCharlton1 England - ENGLAND: Championship D
HomeMiddlesbrough3 AwayWest Brom1 England - ENGLAND: Championship L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to West Brom.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Bi

Birmingham

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDDWLD
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals scored
15
Goals conceded
11
Scored / match
2.50
Conceded / match
1.83
Clean sheets1/6Both scored5/63+ total goals6/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Birmingham
DateTeams / goalsResult for Birmingham
HomeBirmingham4 AwayBrooklyn0 USA - USA: USL Championship W
HomeBirmingham2 AwayMiddlesbrough2 England - ENGLAND: Championship D
HomeBirmingham4 AwayNew Mexico4 USA - USA: USL Championship D
HomeDerby1 AwayBirmingham2 England - ENGLAND: Championship W
HomeNorwich2 AwayBirmingham1 England - ENGLAND: Championship L
HomeBirmingham2 AwayWolves2 England - ENGLAND: Championship D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Birmingham.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
10.10.2026 ↗
Imported
10.10.2026 09:06
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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