Both teams to score
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Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - AperturaFootball · Match analysis
Guadalajara Chivas vs UNAM Pumas — prediction 14.09.2026
Guadalajara Chivas
Home
Full time3:0
Europe/Prague
UNAM Pumas
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
90.6%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 90.6%
- Fair market
- 93.2%
- Edge
- -2.6 pp
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Guadalajara Chivas: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 12; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 1 home and 4 away games.
UNAM Pumas: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 4; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 2 home and 1 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 90.6%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -2.6 percentage points.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=90.6% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=90.6% | ROI safety O0.5: кф 1.02 слишком низкий; один 0:0 перекрывает серию выигрышей | selecti...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Gu
Guadalajara Chivas
Home team · 5 matches in sampleRecent → older
WDWWW
- Wins
- 4
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 0
- Goals scored
- 12
- Goals conceded
- 4
- Scored / match
- 2.40
- Conceded / match
- 0.80
Clean sheets2/5Both scored3/53+ total goals3/5
Sample: home 1 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Guadalajara Chivas |
|---|---|---|
| HomeAtl. San Luis0 AwayGuadalajara Chivas3 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | W | |
| HomePachuca1 AwayGuadalajara Chivas1 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | D | |
| HomeGuadalajara Chivas5 AwayClub Tijuana2 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | W | |
| HomeSantos Laguna0 AwayGuadalajara Chivas1 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | W | |
| HomeSeattle Sounders1 AwayGuadalajara Chivas2 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Guadalajara Chivas.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
UN
UNAM Pumas
Away team · 3 matches in sampleRecent → older
WLD
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 4
- Goals conceded
- 4
- Scored / match
- 1.33
- Conceded / match
- 1.33
Clean sheets0/3Both scored2/33+ total goals1/3
Sample: home 2 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for UNAM Pumas |
|---|---|---|
| HomeUNAM Pumas3 AwayClub Leon1 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | W | |
| HomeClub Tijuana2 AwayUNAM Pumas0 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | L | |
| HomeUNAM Pumas1 AwayNecaxa1 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | D |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to UNAM Pumas.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 14.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 14.09.2026 00:01
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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