Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - AperturaFootball · Match analysis

Guadalajara Chivas vs Club Tijuana — prediction 23.08.2026

Guadalajara Chivas

Home
Full time5:2 Europe/Prague

Club Tijuana

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
89.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
90.0%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Guadalajara Chivas: 2 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 0 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 3; conceded: 1. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 0 home and 2 away games.

Club Tijuana: 2 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 3; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 1 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 89.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): нулевой фильтр: слабый гостевой профиль (гости на выезде n=5, ТБ1.5=3/5, ср.тотал=1.60, H2H n=0, H2H ТБ1.5=0/5)

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Gu

Guadalajara Chivas

Home team · 2 matches in sample
Recent → older
WW
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
0
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
1
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
0.50
Clean sheets1/2Both scored1/23+ total goals1/2

Sample: home 0 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Guadalajara Chivas
DateTeams / goalsResult for Guadalajara Chivas
HomeSantos Laguna0 AwayGuadalajara Chivas1 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura W
HomeSeattle Sounders1 AwayGuadalajara Chivas2 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Guadalajara Chivas.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Cl

Club Tijuana

Away team · 2 matches in sample
Recent → older
WL
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored
3
Goals conceded
4
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
2.00
Clean sheets0/2Both scored2/23+ total goals2/2

Sample: home 1 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Club Tijuana
DateTeams / goalsResult for Club Tijuana
HomeClub Tijuana2 AwayCruz Azul1 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura W
HomePortland Timbers3 AwayClub Tijuana1 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Club Tijuana.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
23.08.2026 ↗
Imported
23.08.2026 10:35
Model version
sha256-14e10c2f007a · 14e10c2f007a
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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