Both teams to score
Unlock this market
View plans
View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.
Japan - JAPAN: Emperors CupFootball · Match analysis
FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare — prediction 07.10.2026
FC Tokyo
Home
Full time4:0
Europe/Prague
Shonan Bellmare
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
PRO / AI Premium
First half over 0.5
Unlock this market
View plans
View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.
Match over 0.5
91.9%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 91.9%
- Fair market
- 91.4%
- Edge
- +0.5 pp
Match over 1.5
Unlock this market
View plans
View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.
Match over 2.5
Unlock this market
View plans
View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.
Handicap
Unlock this market
View plans
View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.
Team to score
Unlock this market
View plans
View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.
Match total under
Unlock this market
View plans
View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.
Home / away win
Unlock this market
View plans
View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.
EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
FC Tokyo: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 5 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 12; conceded: 1. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.
Shonan Bellmare: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 1 home and 4 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 91.9%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.5 percentage points.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=91.9% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=91.9% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
FC
FC Tokyo
Home team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
WWWDWW
- Wins
- 5
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 0
- Goals scored
- 12
- Goals conceded
- 1
- Scored / match
- 2.00
- Conceded / match
- 0.17
Clean sheets5/6Both scored1/63+ total goals1/6
Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|
| HomeEhime0 AwayFC Tokyo2 Japan - JAPAN: J.League Cup - First stage | W | |
| HomeGamba Osaka0 AwayFC Tokyo2 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League | W | |
| HomeFC Tokyo2 AwayKyoto0 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League | W | |
| HomeShimizu S-Pulse1 AwayFC Tokyo1 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League | D | |
| HomeV-Varen Nagasaki0 AwayFC Tokyo3 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League | W | |
| HomeFC Tokyo2 AwayChiba0 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to FC Tokyo.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Sh
Shonan Bellmare
Away team · 5 matches in sampleRecent → older
DWLDD
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 3
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 5
- Goals conceded
- 6
- Scored / match
- 1.00
- Conceded / match
- 1.20
Clean sheets2/5Both scored3/53+ total goals2/5
Sample: home 1 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Shonan Bellmare |
|---|---|---|
| HomeFujieda MYFC1 AwayShonan Bellmare1 Japan - JAPAN: J2 League | D | |
| HomeVanraure0 AwayShonan Bellmare1 Japan - JAPAN: J2 League | W | |
| HomeShonan Bellmare1 AwayVegalta Sendai3 Japan - JAPAN: J2 League | L | |
| HomeOmiya Ardija2 AwayShonan Bellmare2 Japan - JAPAN: J2 League | D | |
| HomeTegevajaro Miyazaki0 AwayShonan Bellmare0 Japan - JAPAN: J2 League | D |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Shonan Bellmare.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 07.10.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 07.10.2026 00:01
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
AI Premium
View AI Premium →Go deeper into the model's analysis
The advanced summary is available with AI Premium.