Japan - JAPAN: J.League Cup - First stageFootball · Match analysis

Ehime vs FC Tokyo — prediction 29.09.2026

Ehime

Home
Full time0:2 Europe/Prague

FC Tokyo

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
90.2%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
90.2%
Fair market
94.2%
Edge
-4.0 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Ehime: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 3 away games.

FC Tokyo: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 10; conceded: 1. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 2 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 90.2%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -4.0 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=90.2% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=90.2% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Eh

Ehime

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWWWD
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
9
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
1.80
Conceded / match
1.20
Clean sheets2/5Both scored3/53+ total goals3/5

Sample: home 2 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Ehime
DateTeams / goalsResult for Ehime
HomeOsaka2 AwayEhime1 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League L
HomeEhime4 AwayGiravanz Kitakyushu2 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League W
HomeEhime1 AwayBlaublitz0 Japan - JAPAN: J.League Cup - First stage W
HomeKanazawa0 AwayEhime1 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League W
HomeYamaga2 AwayEhime2 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Ehime.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

FC

FC Tokyo

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWDWW
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals scored
10
Goals conceded
1
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
0.20
Clean sheets4/5Both scored1/53+ total goals1/5

Sample: home 2 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · FC Tokyo
DateTeams / goalsResult for FC Tokyo
HomeGamba Osaka0 AwayFC Tokyo2 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League W
HomeFC Tokyo2 AwayKyoto0 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League W
HomeShimizu S-Pulse1 AwayFC Tokyo1 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League D
HomeV-Varen Nagasaki0 AwayFC Tokyo3 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League W
HomeFC Tokyo2 AwayChiba0 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to FC Tokyo.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
29.09.2026 ↗
Imported
29.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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