El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Copa Presidente - Play OffsFootball · Match analysis

Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC — prediction 07.10.2026

Luis Angel Firpo

Home
Scheduled kick-off22:00 Europe/Prague

Alianza FC

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
91.2%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
91.2%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Luis Angel Firpo: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Alianza FC: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 12; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 6 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 5. The sample contains 5 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 91.2%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): cross-market: минимум 1 гол следует из зелёного Гол команды; статус 'нет' относится к отдельной ставке ТБ0.5, а не к прогнозу 0:0 | whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=91.2% |...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Lu

Luis Angel Firpo

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWWDWL
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.83
Conceded / match
0.83
Clean sheets3/6Both scored3/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Luis Angel Firpo
DateTeams / goalsResult for Luis Angel Firpo
HomeAlianza FC2 AwayLuis Angel Firpo2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D
HomeFuerte San Francisco0 AwayLuis Angel Firpo3 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura W
HomeLuis Angel Firpo2 AwayAguila0 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura W
HomeLuis Angel Firpo0 AwayCacahuatique0 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D
HomeLuis Angel Firpo3 AwayAtletico Balboa1 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura W
HomeLuis Angel Firpo1 AwayMetapan2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Luis Angel Firpo.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Al

Alianza FC

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWDDWD
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
0
Goals scored
12
Goals conceded
10
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
1.67
Clean sheets0/6Both scored6/63+ total goals5/6

Sample: home 5 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Alianza FC
DateTeams / goalsResult for Alianza FC
HomeAlianza FC2 AwayLuis Angel Firpo2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D
HomeAlianza FC2 AwayPlatense Municipal1 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura W
HomeAlianza FC1 AwayInca Aruba1 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D
HomeAlianza FC2 AwayFuerte San Francisco2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D
HomeAlianza FC3 AwayMunicipal Limeno2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura W
HomeAguila2 AwayAlianza FC2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Alianza FC.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

1 matches in archive window
Head-to-head results, home team first
DateHomeScoreAway
04.10.26Alianza FC2–2Luis Angel Firpo

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
07.10.2026 ↗
Imported
07.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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