El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - AperturaFootball · Match analysis

Alianza FC vs Platense Municipal — prediction 01.10.2026

Alianza FC

Home
Full time2:1 Europe/Prague

Platense Municipal

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

First half over 0.5

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match over 0.5

Not recommended
91.6%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
91.6%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match over 2.5

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Handicap

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Team to score

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match total under

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Home / away win

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Alianza FC: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 4 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 10; conceded: 11. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Platense Municipal: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 9. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 5 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 91.6%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=91.6% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=91.6% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Al

Alianza FC

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DDWDDL
Wins
1
Draws
4
Losses
1
Goals scored
10
Goals conceded
11
Scored / match
1.67
Conceded / match
1.83
Clean sheets0/6Both scored5/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Alianza FC
DateTeams / goalsResult for Alianza FC
HomeAlianza FC1 AwayInca Aruba1 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D
HomeAlianza FC2 AwayFuerte San Francisco2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D
HomeAlianza FC3 AwayMunicipal Limeno2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura W
HomeAguila2 AwayAlianza FC2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D
HomePlatense Municipal2 AwayAlianza FC2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D
HomeMetapan2 AwayAlianza FC0 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Alianza FC.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Pl

Platense Municipal

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
DLLWLD
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
9
Scored / match
0.83
Conceded / match
1.50
Clean sheets1/6Both scored3/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 5 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Platense Municipal
DateTeams / goalsResult for Platense Municipal
HomePlatense Municipal0 AwayFuerte San Francisco0 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D
HomePlatense Municipal0 AwayAguila1 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura L
HomePlatense Municipal1 AwayMetapan2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura L
HomeCacahuatique1 AwayPlatense Municipal2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura W
HomePlatense Municipal0 AwayInter Santa Tecla3 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura L
HomePlatense Municipal2 AwayAlianza FC2 El Salvador - EL SALVADOR: Primera Division - Apertura D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Platense Municipal.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

1 matches in archive window
Head-to-head results, home team first
DateHomeScoreAway
26.08.26Platense Municipal2–2Alianza FC

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
01.10.2026 ↗
Imported
01.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

AI Premium

Go deeper into the model's analysis

The advanced summary is available with AI Premium.

View AI Premium →