Uzbekistan - UZBEKISTAN: Super LeagueFootball · Match analysis

Neftchi Fargona vs Termez Surkhon — prediction 09.09.2026

Neftchi Fargona

Home
Full time2:1 Europe/Prague

Termez Surkhon

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
92.9%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
92.9%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Neftchi Fargona: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 1 home and 3 away games.

Termez Surkhon: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 2; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 92.9%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=92.9% | риск 0:0: H2H содержит 2/5 матча 0:0

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ne

Neftchi Fargona

Home team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWLW
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals scored
9
Goals conceded
10
Scored / match
2.25
Conceded / match
2.50
Clean sheets2/4Both scored2/43+ total goals4/4

Sample: home 1 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Neftchi Fargona
DateTeams / goalsResult for Neftchi Fargona
HomeNasaf Qarshi6 AwayNeftchi Fargona2 Uzbekistan - UZBEKISTAN: Super League L
HomeNeftchi Fargona3 AwaySogdiana0 Uzbekistan - UZBEKISTAN: Super League W
HomeBuxoro4 AwayNeftchi Fargona1 Uzbekistan - UZBEKISTAN: Super League L
HomeAndijan0 AwayNeftchi Fargona3 Uzbekistan - UZBEKISTAN: Super League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Neftchi Fargona.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Te

Termez Surkhon

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDDL
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
3
Scored / match
0.50
Conceded / match
0.75
Clean sheets3/4Both scored1/43+ total goals1/4

Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Termez Surkhon
DateTeams / goalsResult for Termez Surkhon
HomeBunyodkor0 AwayTermez Surkhon1 Uzbekistan - UZBEKISTAN: Super League W
HomeTermez Surkhon0 AwayOKMK0 Uzbekistan - UZBEKISTAN: Super League D
HomePakhtakor0 AwayTermez Surkhon0 Uzbekistan - UZBEKISTAN: Super League D
HomeTermez Surkhon1 AwaySogdiana3 Uzbekistan - UZBEKISTAN: Super League L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Termez Surkhon.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
09.09.2026 ↗
Imported
09.09.2026 00:03
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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