Lithuania - LITHUANIA: I LygaFootball · Match analysis

Garliava vs BFA Vilnius — prediction 12.09.2026

Garliava

Home
Full time2:3 Europe/Prague

BFA Vilnius

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
88.2%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
88.2%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Garliava: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 0; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 0 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 0. The sample contains 1 home and 2 away games.

BFA Vilnius: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 88.2%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=88.2% | zero filter strict: O0.5 depends on weak win/team-goal scenario without independent confirmations (P00_fused=8.8%, lambda=2.38, win=3...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ga

Garliava

Home team · 3 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLL
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
4
Scored / match
0.00
Conceded / match
1.33
Clean sheets0/3Both scored0/33+ total goals0/3

Sample: home 1 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Garliava
DateTeams / goalsResult for Garliava
HomeEkranas1 AwayGarliava0 Lithuania - LITHUANIA: I Lyga L
HomeGarliava0 AwayBabrungas1 Lithuania - LITHUANIA: I Lyga L
HomeBE1 NFA2 AwayGarliava0 Lithuania - LITHUANIA: I Lyga L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Garliava.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

BF

BFA Vilnius

Away team · 3 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDW
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
3
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets1/3Both scored2/33+ total goals2/3

Sample: home 2 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · BFA Vilnius
DateTeams / goalsResult for BFA Vilnius
HomeBFA Vilnius2 AwayBabrungas1 Lithuania - LITHUANIA: I Lyga W
HomeTauras Taurage2 AwayBFA Vilnius2 Lithuania - LITHUANIA: I Lyga D
HomeBFA Vilnius2 AwayNeptunas0 Lithuania - LITHUANIA: I Lyga W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to BFA Vilnius.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
12.09.2026 ↗
Imported
12.09.2026 10:09
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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