Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera NacionalFootball · Match analysis

Deportivo Maipu vs Temperley — prediction 27.09.2026

Deportivo Maipu

Home
Full time1:0 Europe/Prague

Temperley

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
82.6%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
82.6%
Fair market
85.6%
Edge
-3.0 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Deportivo Maipu: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 4; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Temperley: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 5 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 12; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 82.6%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -3.0 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=82.6% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=82.6% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

De

Deportivo Maipu

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
DDDLW
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1
Goals scored
4
Goals conceded
4
Scored / match
0.80
Conceded / match
0.80
Clean sheets2/5Both scored2/53+ total goals1/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Deportivo Maipu
DateTeams / goalsResult for Deportivo Maipu
HomeDeportivo Maipu1 AwayGimnasia Jujuy1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional D
HomeAlmagro2 AwayDeportivo Maipu2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional D
HomeDeportivo Maipu0 AwayPatronato0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional D
HomeColegiales1 AwayDeportivo Maipu0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional L
HomeDeportivo Maipu1 AwayQuilmes0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Deportivo Maipu.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Te

Temperley

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDWWWW
Wins
5
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals scored
12
Goals conceded
3
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
0.50
Clean sheets3/6Both scored3/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Temperley
DateTeams / goalsResult for Temperley
HomeTemperley3 AwayAlmagro1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional W
HomePatronato0 AwayTemperley0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional D
HomeTemperley3 AwayColegiales1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional W
HomeQuilmes0 AwayTemperley1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional W
HomeTemperley2 AwayMidland1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional W
HomeTemperley3 AwayLos Andes0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Temperley.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
27.09.2026 ↗
Imported
27.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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