England - ENGLAND: League OneFootball · Match analysis

Peterborough vs Notts County — prediction 03.10.2026

Peterborough

Home
Scheduled kick-off16:00 Europe/Prague

Notts County

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
91.5%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
91.5%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Peterborough: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Notts County: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 91.5%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=91.5% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=91.5% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Pe

Peterborough

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWLDLD
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
0.83
Conceded / match
1.17
Clean sheets1/6Both scored3/63+ total goals2/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Peterborough
DateTeams / goalsResult for Peterborough
HomeStockport County1 AwayPeterborough0 England - ENGLAND: League One L
HomePeterborough3 AwayColchester1 England - ENGLAND: EFL Trophy W
HomePeterborough0 AwayDoncaster2 England - ENGLAND: League One L
HomeMK Dons1 AwayPeterborough1 England - ENGLAND: League One D
HomePeterborough1 AwaySheffield Wed2 England - ENGLAND: League One L
HomePeterborough0 AwayStevenage0 England - ENGLAND: League One D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Peterborough.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

No

Notts County

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLLDDW
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
1.17
Clean sheets0/6Both scored4/63+ total goals2/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Notts County
DateTeams / goalsResult for Notts County
HomeNotts County2 AwayGrimsby1 England - ENGLAND: EFL Trophy W
HomeReading2 AwayNotts County0 England - ENGLAND: League One L
HomeNotts County0 AwayBradford City1 England - ENGLAND: League One L
HomeHuddersfield1 AwayNotts County1 England - ENGLAND: League One D
HomeDoncaster1 AwayNotts County1 England - ENGLAND: League One D
HomeNotts County2 AwayBurton1 England - ENGLAND: League One W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Notts County.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
03.10.2026 ↗
Imported
03.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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