Germany - GERMANY: 2. BundesligaFootball · Match analysis

Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld — prediction 11.10.2026

Bochum

Home
Scheduled kick-off13:30 Europe/Prague

Arminia Bielefeld

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
92.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
92.8%
Fair market
92.7%
Edge
+0.1 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Bochum: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.

Arminia Bielefeld: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 92.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.1 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=92.8% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=92.8% | ROI safety O0.5: кф 1.02 слишком низкий; один 0:0 перекрывает серию выигрышей

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Bo

Bochum

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LDWLWW
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored
7
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
1.17
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets1/6Both scored4/63+ total goals3/6

Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Bochum
DateTeams / goalsResult for Bochum
HomeHannover2 AwayBochum1 Germany - GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga L
HomeBochum1 AwayGreuther Furth1 Germany - GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga D
HomeSG Dynamo Dresden1 AwayBochum2 Germany - GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga W
HomeBochum0 AwayVfL Osnabruck1 Germany - GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga L
HomeGreuther Furth1 AwayBochum2 Germany - GERMANY: DFB Pokal W
HomeBraunschweig0 AwayBochum1 Germany - GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Bochum.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ar

Arminia Bielefeld

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
DLDL
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
10
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
2.50
Clean sheets0/4Both scored4/43+ total goals4/4

Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Arminia Bielefeld
DateTeams / goalsResult for Arminia Bielefeld
HomeArminia Bielefeld2 AwayHeidenheim2 Germany - GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga D
HomeDarmstadt2 AwayArminia Bielefeld1 Germany - GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga L
HomeArminia Bielefeld2 AwaySt. Pauli2 Germany - GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga D
HomeNurnberg4 AwayArminia Bielefeld1 Germany - GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Arminia Bielefeld.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
11.10.2026 ↗
Imported
11.10.2026 01:10
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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