Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit LeagueFootball · Match analysis

Hapoel Afula vs H. Ironi Rishon — prediction 01.10.2026

Hapoel Afula

Home
Full time2:2 Europe/Prague

H. Ironi Rishon

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
93.2%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
93.2%
Fair market
93.2%
Edge
+0.0 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Hapoel Afula: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 13; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

H. Ironi Rishon: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 4 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 93.2%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.0 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=93.2% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=93.2% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ha

Hapoel Afula

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDLLWW
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored
13
Goals conceded
10
Scored / match
2.17
Conceded / match
1.67
Clean sheets2/6Both scored3/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Hapoel Afula
DateTeams / goalsResult for Hapoel Afula
HomeH. Akko0 AwayHapoel Afula3 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League W
HomeHapoel Afula3 AwayHapoel Kfar Shalem3 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League D
HomeMaccabi Bnei Raina4 AwayHapoel Afula2 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League L
HomeHapoel Afula0 AwayMaccabi Jaffa1 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League L
HomeHapoel Afula3 AwayH. Raanana2 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League W
HomeHapoel Afula2 AwaySC Ashdod0 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Hapoel Afula.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

H.

H. Ironi Rishon

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLWWW
Wins
4
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
2.20
Conceded / match
1.20
Clean sheets2/5Both scored3/53+ total goals3/5

Sample: home 4 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · H. Ironi Rishon
DateTeams / goalsResult for H. Ironi Rishon
HomeH. Ironi Rishon1 AwayM. Nazareth0 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League W
HomeSC Ashdod3 AwayH. Ironi Rishon2 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League L
HomeH. Ironi Rishon4 AwayKiryat Yam2 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League W
HomeH. Ironi Rishon2 AwayMS Kafr Qasim1 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League W
HomeH. Ironi Rishon2 AwayHapoel Kfar Saba0 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to H. Ironi Rishon.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
01.10.2026 ↗
Imported
01.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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