England - ENGLAND: National LeagueFootball · Match analysis

Aldershot vs Tamworth — prediction 26.09.2026

Aldershot

Home
Full time5:1 Europe/Prague

Tamworth

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
93.6%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
93.6%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Aldershot: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Tamworth: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 16. Both teams scored in 6 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 6. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 93.6%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=93.6% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=93.6% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Al

Aldershot

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LDWWDW
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.33
Conceded / match
0.83
Clean sheets1/6Both scored4/63+ total goals2/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Aldershot
DateTeams / goalsResult for Aldershot
HomeBarrow1 AwayAldershot0 England - ENGLAND: National League L
HomeAldershot1 AwayYeovil1 England - ENGLAND: National League D
HomeSolihull Moors1 AwayAldershot2 England - ENGLAND: National League W
HomeAldershot1 AwayFC Halifax0 England - ENGLAND: National League W
HomeEastleigh1 AwayAldershot1 England - ENGLAND: National League D
HomeAldershot3 AwayHarrogate1 England - ENGLAND: National League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Aldershot.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ta

Tamworth

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLLDLL
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
4
Goals scored
9
Goals conceded
16
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
2.67
Clean sheets0/6Both scored6/63+ total goals6/6

Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Tamworth
DateTeams / goalsResult for Tamworth
HomeTamworth2 AwayWealdstone1 England - ENGLAND: National League W
HomeSouthend3 AwayTamworth1 England - ENGLAND: National League L
HomeHarrogate3 AwayTamworth1 England - ENGLAND: National League L
HomeTamworth2 AwayBoston Utd2 England - ENGLAND: National League D
HomeYeovil3 AwayTamworth2 England - ENGLAND: National League L
HomeFC Halifax4 AwayTamworth1 England - ENGLAND: National League L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Tamworth.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
26.09.2026 ↗
Imported
26.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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