Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit LeagueFootball · Match analysis

M. Nazareth vs Ironi Modiin — prediction 01.10.2026

M. Nazareth

Home
Full time1:2 Europe/Prague

Ironi Modiin

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
93.7%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
93.7%
Fair market
92.1%
Edge
+1.6 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

M. Nazareth: 2 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 1; conceded: 1. Both teams scored in 0 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 0. The sample contains 1 home and 1 away games.

Ironi Modiin: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 13. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 93.7%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +1.6 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=93.7% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=93.7% | O0.5 blocked after historical calibration: negative priced EV (calibrated=93.7%, odds=1...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

M.

M. Nazareth

Home team · 2 matches in sample
Recent → older
LW
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
1
Scored / match
0.50
Conceded / match
0.50
Clean sheets1/2Both scored0/23+ total goals0/2

Sample: home 1 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · M. Nazareth
DateTeams / goalsResult for M. Nazareth
HomeH. Ironi Rishon1 AwayM. Nazareth0 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League L
HomeM. Nazareth1 AwayH. Akko0 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to M. Nazareth.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ir

Ironi Modiin

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLLDWL
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
4
Goals scored
9
Goals conceded
13
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
2.17
Clean sheets1/6Both scored4/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Ironi Modiin
DateTeams / goalsResult for Ironi Modiin
HomeIroni Modiin1 AwaySC Ashdod3 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League L
HomeKiryat Yam3 AwayIroni Modiin2 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League L
HomeIroni Modiin2 AwayBnei Yehuda4 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League L
HomeMS Kafr Qasim0 AwayIroni Modiin0 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League D
HomeHapoel Kfar Saba1 AwayIroni Modiin4 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League W
HomeIroni Modiin0 AwayM. Herzliya2 Israel - ISRAEL: Leumit League L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Ironi Modiin.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
01.10.2026 ↗
Imported
01.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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