Japan - JAPAN: J1 LeagueFootball · Match analysis

Kashima Antlers vs Gamba Osaka — prediction 09.10.2026

Kashima Antlers

Home
Scheduled kick-off12:00 Europe/Prague

Gamba Osaka

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
93.9%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
93.9%
Fair market
93.6%
Edge
+0.3 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Kashima Antlers: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Gamba Osaka: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 93.9%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.3 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=93.9% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=93.9% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ka

Kashima Antlers

Home team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLLLWW
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
10
Scored / match
1.83
Conceded / match
1.67
Clean sheets1/6Both scored4/63+ total goals4/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Kashima Antlers
DateTeams / goalsResult for Kashima Antlers
HomeKashima Antlers3 AwayKofu1 Japan - JAPAN: Emperors Cup W
HomeVissel Kobe2 AwayKashima Antlers1 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League L
HomeKashima Antlers0 AwayUrawa Reds1 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League L
HomeMito4 AwayKashima Antlers2 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League L
HomeVerdy0 AwayKashima Antlers2 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League W
HomeKashima Antlers3 AwayAvispa Fukuoka2 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Kashima Antlers.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ga

Gamba Osaka

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLLLDD
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals scored
7
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
1.17
Conceded / match
1.17
Clean sheets2/6Both scored1/63+ total goals2/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Gamba Osaka
DateTeams / goalsResult for Gamba Osaka
HomeGamba Osaka5 AwayTokushima0 Japan - JAPAN: Emperors Cup W
HomeGamba Osaka0 AwayVissel Kobe1 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League L
HomeGamba Osaka0 AwayFC Tokyo2 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League L
HomeChiba2 AwayGamba Osaka0 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League L
HomeV-Varen Nagasaki2 AwayGamba Osaka2 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League D
HomeGamba Osaka0 AwaySanfrecce Hiroshima0 Japan - JAPAN: J1 League D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Gamba Osaka.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
09.10.2026 ↗
Imported
09.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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