Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora ligaFootball · Match analysis

Spartak Pleven vs Hebar — prediction 07.09.2026

Spartak Pleven

Home
Full time3:2 Europe/Prague

Hebar

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
91.9%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
91.9%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Spartak Pleven: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 0; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 0 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 2 home and 1 away games.

Hebar: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 91.9%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=91.9% | zero filter strict: primary goal signals outweigh H2H/lambda (1X2=no, BTTS=no, 1H=n/a, O1.5=None, lambda=3.349557985479703)

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Sp

Spartak Pleven

Home team · 3 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLL
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
0.00
Conceded / match
2.00
Clean sheets0/3Both scored0/33+ total goals1/3

Sample: home 2 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Spartak Pleven
DateTeams / goalsResult for Spartak Pleven
HomeSpartak Pleven0 AwayVihren2 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga L
HomeBeroe3 AwaySpartak Pleven0 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga L
HomeSpartak Pleven0 AwayLok. Gorna1 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Spartak Pleven.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

He

Hebar

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWWL
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
2.00
Conceded / match
1.75
Clean sheets1/4Both scored3/43+ total goals2/4

Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Hebar
DateTeams / goalsResult for Hebar
HomeHebar1 AwayFratria1 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga D
HomeHebar1 AwayChernomorets 19190 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga W
HomePirin Blagoevgrad2 AwayHebar3 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga W
HomeCSKA Sofia II4 AwayHebar3 Bulgaria - BULGARIA: Vtora liga L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Hebar.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
07.09.2026 ↗
Imported
07.09.2026 00:04
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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