Both teams to score
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Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Challenge LeagueFootball · Match analysis
Etoile-Carouge vs Winterthur — prediction 11.09.2026
Etoile-Carouge
Home
Full time0:1
Europe/Prague
Winterthur
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
94.5%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 93.7%
- Fair market
- 90.7%
- Edge
- +3.9 pp
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Etoile-Carouge: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 3; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.
Winterthur: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 94.5%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +3.9 percentage points.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=93.7% | zero filter strict: overheated O1.5 without win/BTTS/1H confirmation (O1.5=1.16, 1H=n/a, 1H odds=1.24)
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Et
Etoile-Carouge
Home team · 4 matches in sampleRecent → older
DLWD
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 3
- Goals conceded
- 5
- Scored / match
- 0.75
- Conceded / match
- 1.25
Clean sheets1/4Both scored2/43+ total goals2/4
Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Etoile-Carouge |
|---|---|---|
| HomeEtoile-Carouge1 AwayWil1 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Challenge League | D | |
| HomeLausanne Ouchy3 AwayEtoile-Carouge0 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Challenge League | L | |
| HomeEtoile-Carouge2 AwayRapperswil-Jona1 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Challenge League | W | |
| HomeStade Nyonnais0 AwayEtoile-Carouge0 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Challenge League | D |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Etoile-Carouge.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Wi
Winterthur
Away team · 4 matches in sampleRecent → older
WDDW
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 0
- Goals scored
- 9
- Goals conceded
- 3
- Scored / match
- 2.25
- Conceded / match
- 0.75
Clean sheets2/4Both scored2/43+ total goals2/4
Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Winterthur |
|---|---|---|
| HomeWinterthur4 AwayXamax0 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Challenge League | W | |
| HomeStade Nyonnais2 AwayWinterthur2 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Challenge League | D | |
| HomeWinterthur1 AwayLausanne Ouchy1 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Challenge League | D | |
| HomeRapperswil-Jona0 AwayWinterthur2 Switzerland - SWITZERLAND: Challenge League | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Winterthur.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 11.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 11.09.2026 00:02
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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