Both teams to score
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Netherlands - NETHERLANDS: Eerste DivisieFootball · Match analysis
Helmond vs Jong PSV — prediction 11.09.2026
Helmond
Home
Full time3:1
Europe/Prague
Jong PSV
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
90.7%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 92.0%
- Fair market
- 94.8%
- Edge
- -4.1 pp
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Helmond: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 8. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 2 away games.
Jong PSV: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 90.7%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -4.1 percentage points.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=92.0% | ROI safety O0.5: кф 1.02 слишком низкий; один 0:0 перекрывает серию выигрышей
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
He
Helmond
Home team · 4 matches in sampleRecent → older
WLDL
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 2
- Goals scored
- 8
- Goals conceded
- 8
- Scored / match
- 2.00
- Conceded / match
- 2.00
Clean sheets0/4Both scored4/43+ total goals3/4
Sample: home 2 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Helmond |
|---|---|---|
| HomeHelmond4 AwayVenlo2 Netherlands - NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie | W | |
| HomeJong Ajax3 AwayHelmond2 Netherlands - NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie | L | |
| HomeHelmond1 AwayWaalwijk1 Netherlands - NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie | D | |
| HomeRoda2 AwayHelmond1 Netherlands - NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Helmond.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Jo
Jong PSV
Away team · 5 matches in sampleRecent → older
WDDWL
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 8
- Goals conceded
- 7
- Scored / match
- 1.60
- Conceded / match
- 1.40
Clean sheets1/5Both scored4/53+ total goals3/5
Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Jong PSV |
|---|---|---|
| HomeJong PSV3 AwayDen Bosch1 Netherlands - NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie | W | |
| HomeJong PSV1 AwayJong Ajax1 Netherlands - NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie | D | |
| HomeWaalwijk2 AwayJong PSV2 Netherlands - NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie | D | |
| HomeJong PSV1 AwayOss0 Netherlands - NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie | W | |
| HomeAlmere City3 AwayJong PSV1 Netherlands - NETHERLANDS: Eerste Divisie | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Jong PSV.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 11.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 11.09.2026 00:02
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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