USA - USA: MLSFootball · Match analysis

Portland Timbers vs St. Louis City — prediction 10.09.2026

Portland Timbers

Home
Full time2:2 Europe/Prague

St. Louis City

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
94.4%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
94.7%
Fair market
95.2%
Edge
-0.8 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Portland Timbers: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

St. Louis City: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 94.4%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -0.8 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=94.7% | ROI safety O0.5: кф 1.01 слишком низкий; один 0:0 перекрывает серию выигрышей

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Po

Portland Timbers

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLDLW
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
10
Scored / match
2.20
Conceded / match
2.00
Clean sheets0/5Both scored5/53+ total goals4/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Portland Timbers
DateTeams / goalsResult for Portland Timbers
HomePortland Timbers5 AwayMinnesota United4 USA - USA: MLS W
HomePortland Timbers1 AwayAustin FC2 USA - USA: MLS L
HomeLos Angeles FC1 AwayPortland Timbers1 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeChicago Fire2 AwayPortland Timbers1 USA - USA: MLS L
HomePortland Timbers3 AwayClub Tijuana1 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Portland Timbers.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

St

St. Louis City

Away team · 3 matches in sample
Recent → older
WDW
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
0
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
2.67
Conceded / match
1.67
Clean sheets0/3Both scored3/33+ total goals3/3

Sample: home 2 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · St. Louis City
DateTeams / goalsResult for St. Louis City
HomeVancouver Whitecaps1 AwaySt. Louis City3 USA - USA: MLS W
HomeSt. Louis City3 AwayFC Dallas3 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeSt. Louis City2 AwayHouston Dynamo1 USA - USA: MLS W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to St. Louis City.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
10.09.2026 ↗
Imported
10.09.2026 00:03
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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