Both teams to score
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Estonia - ESTONIA: MeistriliigaFootball · Match analysis
Flora vs Parnu JK Vaprus — prediction 20.09.2026
Flora
Home
Full time3:2
Europe/Prague
Parnu JK Vaprus
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
94.7%model probability
Recommended selection
Match over 0.5
Won
Model data
- Prediction
- 94.7%
- Fair market
- —
- Edge
- —
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Flora: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 12; conceded: 12. Both teams scored in 6 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 6. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.
Parnu JK Vaprus: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 12. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 94.7%; the recorded decision is recommended.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=94.7% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=94.7% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Fl
Flora
Home team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
WDWWLL
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 2
- Goals scored
- 12
- Goals conceded
- 12
- Scored / match
- 2.00
- Conceded / match
- 2.00
Clean sheets0/6Both scored6/63+ total goals6/6
Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Flora |
|---|---|---|
| HomeNomme Utd2 AwayFlora3 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | W | |
| HomeNarva2 AwayFlora2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | D | |
| HomeFlora2 AwayKalju1 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | W | |
| HomeFlora3 AwayTammeka2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | W | |
| HomeFlora1 AwayPaide2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | L | |
| HomeTammeka3 AwayFlora1 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Flora.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Pa
Parnu JK Vaprus
Away team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
LLWWDL
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 3
- Goals scored
- 7
- Goals conceded
- 12
- Scored / match
- 1.17
- Conceded / match
- 2.00
Clean sheets1/6Both scored3/63+ total goals4/6
Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Parnu JK Vaprus |
|---|---|---|
| HomePaide2 AwayParnu JK Vaprus0 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | L | |
| HomeLevadia4 AwayParnu JK Vaprus0 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | L | |
| HomeParnu JK Vaprus3 AwayHarju JK Laagri2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | W | |
| HomeParnu JK Vaprus1 AwayNomme Utd0 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | W | |
| HomeKuressaare2 AwayParnu JK Vaprus2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | D | |
| HomeParnu JK Vaprus1 AwayFlora2 Estonia - ESTONIA: Meistriliiga | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Parnu JK Vaprus.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
1 matches in archive window| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.08.26 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 1–2 | Flora |
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 20.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 20.09.2026 00:01
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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