Japan - JAPAN: J3 LeagueFootball · Match analysis

Kagoshima Utd vs Fukushima Utd — prediction 04.10.2026

Kagoshima Utd

Home
Full time3:2 Europe/Prague

Fukushima Utd

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
93.1%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
93.1%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Kagoshima Utd: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 1 away games.

Fukushima Utd: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 19. Both teams scored in 5 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 6. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 93.1%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): Green profile: обнаружен риск-профиль; min(recent10 HT goal rate)<0.70 AND venue low scores>=4; прогноз сохранён для наблюдения

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Ka

Kagoshima Utd

Home team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
WLWD
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
1.25
Clean sheets1/4Both scored2/43+ total goals2/4

Sample: home 3 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Kagoshima Utd
DateTeams / goalsResult for Kagoshima Utd
HomeKagoshima Utd2 AwayRyukyu1 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League W
HomeKagoshima Utd0 AwayHokkaido Consadole Sapporo1 Japan - JAPAN: J.League Cup - First stage L
HomeKamatamare3 AwayKagoshima Utd4 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League W
HomeKagoshima Utd0 AwayGifu0 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Kagoshima Utd.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Fu

Fukushima Utd

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLLWWD
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
3
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
19
Scored / match
1.83
Conceded / match
3.17
Clean sheets0/6Both scored5/63+ total goals6/6

Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Fukushima Utd
DateTeams / goalsResult for Fukushima Utd
HomeFukushima Utd0 AwayMito7 Japan - JAPAN: J.League Cup - First stage L
HomeOsaka4 AwayFukushima Utd1 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League L
HomeFukushima Utd1 AwayKumamoto2 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League L
HomeFukushima Utd4 AwayVegalta Sendai3 Japan - JAPAN: J.League Cup - First stage W
HomeKusatsu1 AwayFukushima Utd3 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League W
HomeFukushima Utd2 AwayNara Club2 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Fukushima Utd.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
04.10.2026 ↗
Imported
04.10.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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