Latvia - LATVIA: VirsligaFootball · Match analysis

Auda vs Ogre United — prediction 16.09.2026

Auda

Home
Full time1:0 Europe/Prague

Ogre United

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
92.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
92.8%
Fair market
—
Edge
—

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Auda: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 4 home and 1 away games.

Ogre United: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 13. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 5. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 92.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=92.8% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=92.8% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Au

Auda

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
DWDWW
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
0
Goals scored
8
Goals conceded
3
Scored / match
1.60
Conceded / match
0.60
Clean sheets3/5Both scored2/53+ total goals2/5

Sample: home 4 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Auda
DateTeams / goalsResult for Auda
HomeRiga FC2 AwayAuda2 Latvia - LATVIA: Virsliga D
HomeAuda1 AwayGrobina0 Latvia - LATVIA: Virsliga W
HomeAuda1 AwaySuper Nova1 Latvia - LATVIA: Virsliga D
HomeAuda1 AwayFK Liepaja0 Latvia - LATVIA: Virsliga W
HomeAuda3 AwayTukums 20000 Latvia - LATVIA: Virsliga W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Auda.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Og

Ogre United

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
DLLLL
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
4
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
13
Scored / match
1.20
Conceded / match
2.60
Clean sheets0/5Both scored4/53+ total goals5/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Ogre United
DateTeams / goalsResult for Ogre United
HomeOgre United2 AwayFK Liepaja2 Latvia - LATVIA: Virsliga D
HomeTukums 20002 AwayOgre United1 Latvia - LATVIA: Virsliga L
HomeOgre United0 AwayRFS3 Latvia - LATVIA: Virsliga L
HomeOgre United2 AwayJelgava3 Latvia - LATVIA: Virsliga L
HomeBFC Daugavpils3 AwayOgre United1 Latvia - LATVIA: Latvian Cup L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Ogre United.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
16.09.2026 ↗
Imported
16.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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