Both teams to score
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Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya LigaFootball · Match analysis
ML Vitebsk vs Arsenal Dzerzhinsk — prediction 18.09.2026
ML Vitebsk
Home
Full time5:1
Europe/Prague
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
85.9%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 85.9%
- Fair market
- —
- Edge
- —
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
ML Vitebsk: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 4 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 4 home and 2 away games.
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 4; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 85.9%; the recorded decision is not recommended.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=85.9% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=85.9% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
ML
ML Vitebsk
Home team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
DDDWDW
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 4
- Losses
- 0
- Goals scored
- 7
- Goals conceded
- 3
- Scored / match
- 1.17
- Conceded / match
- 0.50
Clean sheets3/6Both scored3/63+ total goals1/6
Sample: home 4 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| HomeDnepr Mogilev1 AwayML Vitebsk1 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | D | |
| HomeML Vitebsk0 AwayDin. Minsk0 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | D | |
| HomeML Vitebsk1 AwayBelshina1 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | D | |
| HomeDynamo Brest1 AwayML Vitebsk3 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | W | |
| HomeML Vitebsk0 AwayBATE0 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | D | |
| HomeML Vitebsk2 AwayBaranovici0 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to ML Vitebsk.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Ar
Arsenal Dzerzhinsk
Away team · 5 matches in sampleRecent → older
DDLLL
- Wins
- 0
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 3
- Goals scored
- 4
- Goals conceded
- 10
- Scored / match
- 0.80
- Conceded / match
- 2.00
Clean sheets1/5Both scored3/53+ total goals2/5
Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk |
|---|---|---|
| HomeArsenal Dzerzhinsk0 AwayBaranovici0 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | D | |
| HomeIsloch1 AwayArsenal Dzerzhinsk1 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | D | |
| HomeArsenal Dzerzhinsk2 AwayZhodino4 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | L | |
| HomeBelshina2 AwayArsenal Dzerzhinsk0 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | L | |
| HomeArsenal Dzerzhinsk1 AwaySlavia Mozyr3 Belarus - BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Arsenal Dzerzhinsk.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 18.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 18.09.2026 00:01
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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