Both teams to score
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Honduras - HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - AperturaFootball · Match analysis
Marathon vs Olimpia — prediction 14.09.2026
Marathon
Home
Full time1:0
Europe/Prague
Olimpia
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
92.9%model probability
Recommended selection
Match over 0.5
Won
Model data
- Prediction
- 92.9%
- Fair market
- —
- Edge
- —
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Marathon: 2 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 3; conceded: 2. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 1 home and 1 away games.
Olimpia: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 8; conceded: 3. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 1 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 92.9%; the recorded decision is recommended.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=92.9% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=92.9% | нормализовано (n=5/5, λ=3.47); ожидаемые голы=3.47; P00_fused=5.3% | selection confiden...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Ma
Marathon
Home team · 2 matches in sampleRecent → older
WD
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 0
- Goals scored
- 3
- Goals conceded
- 2
- Scored / match
- 1.50
- Conceded / match
- 1.00
Clean sheets0/2Both scored2/23+ total goals1/2
Sample: home 1 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Marathon |
|---|---|---|
| HomeGenesis1 AwayMarathon2 Honduras - HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Apertura | W | |
| HomeMarathon1 AwayReal Espana1 Honduras - HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Apertura | D |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Marathon.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Ol
Olimpia
Away team · 3 matches in sampleRecent → older
WDW
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 0
- Goals scored
- 8
- Goals conceded
- 3
- Scored / match
- 2.67
- Conceded / match
- 1.00
Clean sheets0/3Both scored3/33+ total goals2/3
Sample: home 2 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Olimpia |
|---|---|---|
| HomeOlimpia4 AwayPlatense1 Honduras - HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Apertura | W | |
| HomeOlancho1 AwayOlimpia1 Honduras - HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Apertura | D | |
| HomeOlimpia3 AwayMotagua1 Honduras - HONDURAS: Liga Nacional - Apertura | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Olimpia.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 14.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 14.09.2026 00:01
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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