Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro LeagueFootball · Match analysis

Lommel SK vs KV Mechelen — prediction 19.09.2026

Lommel SK

Home
Full time0:0 Europe/Prague

KV Mechelen

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
92.8%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
92.8%
Fair market
92.7%
Edge
+0.2 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Lommel SK: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 0 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

KV Mechelen: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 2 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 12. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 92.8%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.2 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=92.8% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=92.8% | O0.5 blocked after historical calibration: negative priced EV (calibrated=92.8%, odds=1...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Lo

Lommel SK

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLWWL
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
3
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
1.40
Clean sheets2/5Both scored0/53+ total goals2/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Lommel SK
DateTeams / goalsResult for Lommel SK
HomeRoyale Union SG5 AwayLommel SK0 Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League L
HomeLommel SK0 AwayClub Brugge KV1 Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League L
HomeCercle Brugge KSV0 AwayLommel SK1 Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League W
HomeLommel SK4 AwayWesterlo0 Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League W
HomeLommel SK0 AwayCharleroi1 Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Lommel SK.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

KV

KV Mechelen

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLDLD
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
3
Goals scored
5
Goals conceded
12
Scored / match
1.00
Conceded / match
2.40
Clean sheets0/5Both scored2/53+ total goals3/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · KV Mechelen
DateTeams / goalsResult for KV Mechelen
HomeKV Mechelen0 AwayAnderlecht1 Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League L
HomeKV Mechelen0 AwayWesterlo4 Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League L
HomeRAAL La Louviere2 AwayKV Mechelen2 Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League D
HomeCharleroi2 AwayKV Mechelen0 Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League L
HomeKV Mechelen3 AwaySt. Liege3 Belgium - BELGIUM: Jupiler Pro League D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to KV Mechelen.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
19.09.2026 ↗
Imported
19.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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