USA - USA: MLSFootball · Match analysis

San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union — prediction 14.09.2026

San Diego FC

Home
Full time0:5 Europe/Prague

Philadelphia Union

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
95.6%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
95.6%
Fair market
94.5%
Edge
+1.1 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

San Diego FC: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 4 home and 1 away games.

Philadelphia Union: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 14; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 95.6%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +1.1 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): cross-market: минимум 1 гол следует из зелёного Гол команды; статус 'нет' относится к отдельной ставке ТБ0.5, а не к прогнозу 0:0 | whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=95.6% |...

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Sa

San Diego FC

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLWWW
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2
Goals scored
11
Goals conceded
7
Scored / match
2.20
Conceded / match
1.40
Clean sheets1/5Both scored3/53+ total goals4/5

Sample: home 4 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · San Diego FC
DateTeams / goalsResult for San Diego FC
HomeSan Diego FC2 AwaySan Jose Earthquakes3 USA - USA: MLS L
HomeOrlando City1 AwaySan Diego FC0 USA - USA: MLS L
HomeSan Diego FC3 AwayLos Angeles Galaxy1 USA - USA: MLS W
HomeSan Diego FC3 AwayColorado Rapids0 USA - USA: MLS W
HomeSan Diego FC3 AwayPuebla2 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to San Diego FC.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ph

Philadelphia Union

Away team · 6 matches in sample
Recent → older
WWWDWL
Wins
4
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
14
Goals conceded
6
Scored / match
2.33
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets2/6Both scored3/63+ total goals3/6

Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Philadelphia Union
DateTeams / goalsResult for Philadelphia Union
HomePhiladelphia Union5 AwayFC Cincinnati0 USA - USA: MLS W
HomePhiladelphia Union2 AwayCF Montreal0 USA - USA: MLS W
HomeNew York Red Bulls1 AwayPhiladelphia Union3 USA - USA: MLS W
HomeAustin FC1 AwayPhiladelphia Union1 USA - USA: MLS D
HomeNew York City2 AwayPhiladelphia Union3 USA - USA: MLS W
HomePhiladelphia Union0 AwaySantos Laguna2 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Philadelphia Union.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
14.09.2026 ↗
Imported
14.09.2026 00:01
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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