Both teams to score
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England - ENGLAND: ChampionshipFootball · Match analysis
Bolton vs Stoke — prediction 10.10.2026
Bolton
Home
Scheduled kick-off16:00
Europe/Prague
Stoke
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
92.0%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 92.0%
- Fair market
- 91.4%
- Edge
- +0.6 pp
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Bolton: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 0 draws, 4 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 14. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.
Stoke: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 4 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 11; conceded: 7. Both teams scored in 4 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 92.0%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +0.6 percentage points.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=92.0% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=92.0% | O0.5 blocked after historical calibration: negative priced EV (calibrated=92.0%, odds=1...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Bo
Bolton
Home team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
WWLLLL
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 4
- Goals scored
- 9
- Goals conceded
- 14
- Scored / match
- 1.50
- Conceded / match
- 2.33
Clean sheets1/6Both scored3/63+ total goals4/6
Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Bolton |
|---|---|---|
| HomeNorwich3 AwayBolton4 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomeBolton1 AwayCardiff0 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomeBolton2 AwayWest Ham3 England - ENGLAND: Championship | L | |
| HomeMillwall4 AwayBolton0 England - ENGLAND: Championship | L | |
| HomeSheffield Utd3 AwayBolton2 England - ENGLAND: Championship | L | |
| HomeBolton0 AwayLincoln1 England - ENGLAND: Championship | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Bolton.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
St
Stoke
Away team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
WWDWWL
- Wins
- 4
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 11
- Goals conceded
- 7
- Scored / match
- 1.83
- Conceded / match
- 1.17
Clean sheets2/6Both scored4/63+ total goals4/6
Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Stoke |
|---|---|---|
| HomeStoke2 AwaySheffield Utd1 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomeWatford1 AwayStoke2 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomeCardiff1 AwayStoke1 England - ENGLAND: Championship | D | |
| HomeStoke4 AwayCharlton0 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomeStoke1 AwayNorwich0 England - ENGLAND: Championship | W | |
| HomeWolves4 AwayStoke1 England - ENGLAND: Championship | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Stoke.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 10.10.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 10.10.2026 09:06
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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