Both teams to score
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Japan - JAPAN: J.League Cup - First stageFootball · Match analysis
Tochigi SC vs Montedio Yamagata — prediction 09.09.2026
Tochigi SC
Home
Full time0:1
Europe/Prague
Montedio Yamagata
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
81.4%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 84.4%
- Fair market
- 90.7%
- Edge
- -9.3 pp
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Tochigi SC: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 6. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 1 away games.
Montedio Yamagata: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 2. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 2 home and 1 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 81.4%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -9.3 percentage points.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=84.4% | риск 0:0: высокий P(0:0)=21.1% (Dixon-Coles)
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
To
Tochigi SC
Home team · 3 matches in sampleRecent → older
WLD
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 1
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 5
- Goals conceded
- 6
- Scored / match
- 1.67
- Conceded / match
- 2.00
Clean sheets1/3Both scored2/33+ total goals2/3
Sample: home 2 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Tochigi SC |
|---|---|---|
| HomeTochigi SC2 AwayKochi United0 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League | W | |
| HomeGifu4 AwayTochigi SC1 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League | L | |
| HomeTochigi SC2 AwayGiravanz Kitakyushu2 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League | D |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Tochigi SC.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Mo
Montedio Yamagata
Away team · 3 matches in sampleRecent → older
LWW
- Wins
- 2
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 1
- Goals scored
- 6
- Goals conceded
- 2
- Scored / match
- 2.00
- Conceded / match
- 0.67
Clean sheets2/3Both scored1/33+ total goals2/3
Sample: home 2 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Montedio Yamagata |
|---|---|---|
| HomeMontedio Yamagata1 AwayKofu2 Japan - JAPAN: J2 League | L | |
| HomeImabari0 AwayMontedio Yamagata3 Japan - JAPAN: J2 League | W | |
| HomeMontedio Yamagata2 AwayYokohama FC0 Japan - JAPAN: J2 League | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Montedio Yamagata.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 09.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 09.09.2026 00:03
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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