Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie BFootball · Match analysis

Vila Nova FC vs Goias — prediction 11.09.2026

Vila Nova FC

Home
Full time2:0 Europe/Prague

Goias

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
88.2%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
87.5%
Fair market
85.2%
Edge
+2.9 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Vila Nova FC: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 2; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 0 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 1 home and 2 away games.

Goias: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 1 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 4; conceded: 4. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 1. The sample contains 4 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 88.2%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: +2.9 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=87.5% | риск 0:0 по рынку: низкий кф ТМ2.5=1.45, высокий кф ТБ2.5=2.625, высокий кф BTTS=2.25

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Vi

Vila Nova FC

Home team · 3 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWD
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
0.67
Conceded / match
1.67
Clean sheets2/3Both scored0/33+ total goals1/3

Sample: home 1 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Vila Nova FC
DateTeams / goalsResult for Vila Nova FC
HomeAthletic Club5 AwayVila Nova FC0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B L
HomeVila Nova FC2 AwayCeara0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B W
HomeOperario-PR0 AwayVila Nova FC0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Vila Nova FC.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Go

Goias

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWDLW
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
2
Goals scored
4
Goals conceded
4
Scored / match
0.80
Conceded / match
0.80
Clean sheets1/5Both scored2/53+ total goals1/5

Sample: home 4 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Goias
DateTeams / goalsResult for Goias
HomeGoias0 AwayFortaleza1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B L
HomeGoias2 AwaySao Bernardo1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B W
HomeCuiaba1 AwayGoias1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B D
HomeGoias0 AwayJuventude1 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B L
HomeGoias1 AwayLondrina0 Brazil - BRAZIL: Serie B W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Goias.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
11.09.2026 ↗
Imported
11.09.2026 00:02
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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