England - ENGLAND: EFL CupFootball · Match analysis

Bournemouth vs Lincoln — prediction 08.09.2026

Bournemouth

Home
Full time4:0 Europe/Prague

Lincoln

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

First half over 0.5

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match over 0.5

Not recommended
92.4%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
93.3%
Fair market
95.2%
Edge
-2.8 pp

Match over 1.5

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match over 2.5

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Handicap

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Team to score

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

Match total under

AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with AI Premium.

View plans

Home / away win

PRO / AI Premium
Unlock this market

View the exact selection, its probability and model data with PRO or AI Premium.

View plans

EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Bournemouth: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 0 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 4; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 1 home and 2 away games.

Lincoln: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 7; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 2 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 92.4%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -2.8 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=93.3% | ROI safety O0.5: кф 1.01 слишком низкий; один 0:0 перекрывает серию выигрышей

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Bo

Bournemouth

Home team · 3 matches in sample
Recent → older
DDL
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
4
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.33
Conceded / match
1.67
Clean sheets0/3Both scored3/33+ total goals2/3

Sample: home 1 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Bournemouth
DateTeams / goalsResult for Bournemouth
HomeNewcastle2 AwayBournemouth2 England - ENGLAND: Premier League D
HomeBournemouth1 AwayEverton1 England - ENGLAND: Premier League D
HomeManchester City2 AwayBournemouth1 England - ENGLAND: Premier League L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Bournemouth.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Li

Lincoln

Away team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
DDWWL
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
1
Goals scored
7
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.40
Conceded / match
1.00
Clean sheets2/5Both scored3/53+ total goals2/5

Sample: home 3 · away 2. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Lincoln
DateTeams / goalsResult for Lincoln
HomeLincoln1 AwaySouthampton1 England - ENGLAND: Championship D
HomeLincoln0 AwayBlackburn0 England - ENGLAND: Championship D
HomeBolton0 AwayLincoln1 England - ENGLAND: Championship W
HomeBlackpool1 AwayLincoln4 England - ENGLAND: EFL Cup W
HomeLincoln1 AwayPortsmouth3 England - ENGLAND: Championship L

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Lincoln.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
08.09.2026 ↗
Imported
08.09.2026 00:06
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

AI Premium

Go deeper into the model's analysis

The advanced summary is available with AI Premium.

View AI Premium →