Both teams to score
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Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Promotion - Play OffsFootball · Match analysis
Sportivo Belgrano vs Sarmiento de La Banda — prediction 11.10.2026
Sportivo Belgrano
Home
Scheduled kick-off22:30
Europe/Prague
Sarmiento de La Banda
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
84.5%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 84.5%
- Fair market
- —
- Edge
- —
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Sportivo Belgrano: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses. Goals scored: 2; conceded: 13. Both teams scored in 0 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 2. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.
Sarmiento de La Banda: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses. Goals scored: 5; conceded: 13. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 4. The sample contains 3 home and 3 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 84.5%; the recorded decision is not recommended.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=84.5% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=84.5% | нулевой фильтр: H2H уже содержит 0:0 (1x, нет 1X2)
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Sp
Sportivo Belgrano
Home team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
LLWLLL
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 5
- Goals scored
- 2
- Goals conceded
- 13
- Scored / match
- 0.33
- Conceded / match
- 2.17
Clean sheets1/6Both scored0/63+ total goals2/6
Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Sportivo Belgrano |
|---|---|---|
| HomeSportivo Belgrano0 AwayDouglas Haig4 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeSol de America2 AwaySportivo Belgrano0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeSportivo Belgrano2 AwayBartolome Mitre0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W | |
| HomeSarmiento de La Banda3 AwaySportivo Belgrano0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeSportivo Belgrano0 AwayDefensores Belgrano VR2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeSan Martin Formosa2 AwaySportivo Belgrano0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Sportivo Belgrano.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Sa
Sarmiento de La Banda
Away team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
LLLLWL
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 5
- Goals scored
- 5
- Goals conceded
- 13
- Scored / match
- 0.83
- Conceded / match
- 2.17
Clean sheets1/6Both scored2/63+ total goals4/6
Sample: home 3 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Sarmiento de La Banda |
|---|---|---|
| HomeSarmiento de La Banda0 AwayDefensores Belgrano VR2 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeSan Martin Formosa3 AwaySarmiento de La Banda0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeSarmiento de La Banda1 Away9 de Julio Rafaela4 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeChivilcoy1 AwaySarmiento de La Banda0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L | |
| HomeSarmiento de La Banda3 AwaySportivo Belgrano0 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | W | |
| HomeDouglas Haig3 AwaySarmiento de La Banda1 Argentina - ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Sarmiento de La Banda.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
1 matches in archive window| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23.08.26 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 3–0 | Sportivo Belgrano |
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 11.10.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 11.10.2026 01:10
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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