Both teams to score
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Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - AperturaFootball · Match analysis
Tigres UANL vs Puebla — prediction 27.09.2026
Tigres UANL
Home
Full time1:0
Europe/Prague
Puebla
AwayTHE MODEL'S VIEW
Predictions by market
Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.
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First half over 0.5
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Match over 0.5
89.5%model probability
Evaluated selection
Match over 0.5
Pending
Model data
- Prediction
- 89.5%
- Fair market
- 92.7%
- Edge
- -3.2 pp
Match over 1.5
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Match over 2.5
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Handicap
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Team to score
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Match total under
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Home / away win
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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS
What the saved data show
Tigres UANL: 3 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses. Goals scored: 3; conceded: 1. Both teams scored in 1 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 0. The sample contains 2 home and 1 away games.
Puebla: 6 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses. Goals scored: 9; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 4 away games.
Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →
Match over 0.5
The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 89.5%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -3.2 percentage points.
Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel ft_o05 probability=89.5% | whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=89.5% | selection confidence (shadow: calibrator has no validated holdout for this probability ...
How to interpret the percentage
The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.
Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.
TEAM COMPARISON
Team statistics
Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.
Ti
Tigres UANL
Home team · 3 matches in sampleRecent → older
DDW
- Wins
- 1
- Draws
- 2
- Losses
- 0
- Goals scored
- 3
- Goals conceded
- 1
- Scored / match
- 1.00
- Conceded / match
- 0.33
Clean sheets2/3Both scored1/33+ total goals0/3
Sample: home 2 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Tigres UANL |
|---|---|---|
| HomeTigres UANL1 AwayNecaxa1 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | D | |
| HomeSantos Laguna0 AwayTigres UANL0 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | D | |
| HomeTigres UANL2 AwayAtlante0 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | W |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Tigres UANL.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Pu
Puebla
Away team · 6 matches in sampleRecent → older
LWLWWL
- Wins
- 3
- Draws
- 0
- Losses
- 3
- Goals scored
- 9
- Goals conceded
- 10
- Scored / match
- 1.50
- Conceded / match
- 1.67
Clean sheets1/6Both scored3/63+ total goals3/6
Sample: home 2 · away 4. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.
| Date | Teams / goals | Result for Puebla |
|---|---|---|
| HomePuebla0 AwayToluca1 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | L | |
| HomeNecaxa0 AwayPuebla1 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | W | |
| HomeClub America2 AwayPuebla0 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | L | |
| HomePuebla3 AwaySantos Laguna2 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | W | |
| HomePachuca2 AwayPuebla3 Mexico - MEXICO: Liga MX - Apertura | W | |
| HomeSan Diego FC3 AwayPuebla2 North & Central America - NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: Leagues Cup | L |
Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Puebla.
Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive
Head-to-head
0 matches in archive windowNo verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.
Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.
PUBLISHED RECORD
Forecast details
- Forecast date
- 27.09.2026 ↗
- Imported
- 27.09.2026 00:01
- Model version
- sha256-282c7c04d26e ·
282c7c04d26e - Time zone
- Europe/Prague
These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.
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