Japan - JAPAN: J3 LeagueFootball · Match analysis

Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Gainare Tottori — prediction 12.09.2026

Giravanz Kitakyushu

Home
Full time2:4 Europe/Prague

Gainare Tottori

Away

THE MODEL'S VIEW

Predictions by market

Green = recommended

Each probability refers to the selection shown on its card. A high probability alone is not a recommendation.

Both teams to score

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First half over 0.5

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Match over 0.5

Not recommended
89.4%model probability
Evaluated selection

Match over 0.5

Pending
Model data
Prediction
89.5%
Fair market
89.7%
Edge
-0.3 pp

Match over 1.5

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Match over 2.5

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Handicap

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Team to score

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Match total under

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Home / away win

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EVIDENCE AND LIMITATIONS

What the saved data show

Giravanz Kitakyushu: 5 earlier matches in the archive; 1 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 10. Both teams scored in 3 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 2 home and 3 away games.

Gainare Tottori: 4 earlier matches in the archive; 3 wins, 0 draws, 1 losses. Goals scored: 6; conceded: 5. Both teams scored in 2 games and over 2.5 goals occurred in 3. The sample contains 3 home and 1 away games.

Archive window: up to 6 verified earlier games per team within 365 days. This may be a small, incomplete sample, not the team's entire season. These results describe the current archive; they are not a reconstruction of the predictor's pre-match inputs and do not explain its decision on their own. See games and sources →

Match over 0.5

The stored estimate for Match over 0.5 is 89.4%; the recorded decision is not recommended. Stored edge: -0.3 percentage points.

Recorded reason (original source wording): whole-match funnel O0.5 probability=89.5% | zero filter strict: overheated O1.5 without win/BTTS/1H confirmation (O1.5=1.23, 1H=n/a, 1H odds=None)

Recorded results for this market →

How to interpret the percentage

The percentage is the model's estimate for the stated selection in this saved forecast. It is not the historical hit rate: a model estimate of 89.8% does not establish that 89.8% of comparable picks won. That requires a separate, dated, settled sample for the same market. The public results page reports its sample and counting rules; hit rate is not profit or ROI.

Automatically assembled from published records by BetData. Service responsibility: Dmitry Bychenko. This does not imply individual human review of the match. The model version and import time are shown below; an import time is not a verified calculation time.

TEAM COMPARISON

Team statistics

Up to 6 recent matches

Completed matches available in the BetData archive, across all competitions. Only games before this fixture and before the current time are included, within a 365-day window. This may not be the team's complete history.

Gi

Giravanz Kitakyushu

Home team · 5 matches in sample
Recent → older
LLWDD
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
2
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
10
Scored / match
1.20
Conceded / match
2.00
Clean sheets1/5Both scored3/53+ total goals3/5

Sample: home 2 · away 3. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Giravanz Kitakyushu
DateTeams / goalsResult for Giravanz Kitakyushu
HomeRyukyu3 AwayGiravanz Kitakyushu0 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League L
HomeEhime4 AwayGiravanz Kitakyushu2 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League L
HomeGiravanz Kitakyushu1 AwayIwaki0 Japan - JAPAN: J.League Cup - First stage W
HomeGiravanz Kitakyushu1 AwayYamaga1 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League D
HomeTochigi SC2 AwayGiravanz Kitakyushu2 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League D

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Giravanz Kitakyushu.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Ga

Gainare Tottori

Away team · 4 matches in sample
Recent → older
LWWW
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
1
Goals scored
6
Goals conceded
5
Scored / match
1.50
Conceded / match
1.25
Clean sheets1/4Both scored2/43+ total goals3/4

Sample: home 3 · away 1. Historical results, not forecast probabilities.

Recent results · Gainare Tottori
DateTeams / goalsResult for Gainare Tottori
HomeGainare Tottori0 AwayRenofa Yamaguchi3 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League L
HomeGainare Tottori3 AwayOmiya Ardija1 Japan - JAPAN: J.League Cup - First stage W
HomeReilac Shiga0 AwayGainare Tottori1 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League W
HomeGainare Tottori2 AwayFukushima Utd1 Japan - JAPAN: J3 League W

Each team's goals appear next to its name. Home team first, away team second. W / D / L refers to Gainare Tottori.

Results source: Flashscore · BetData archive

Head-to-head

0 matches in archive window

No verified head-to-head results are available in this archive window. This does not mean these teams have never met.

Archive reference as available now; not a snapshot of the predictor's original inputs. Later corrections to recorded results can update this section. These statistics do not change the model's saved probabilities or recommendations. xG, shots and line-ups are omitted when verified data is unavailable.

PUBLISHED RECORD

Forecast details

Forecast date
12.09.2026 ↗
Imported
12.09.2026 10:09
Model version
sha256-282c7c04d26e · 282c7c04d26e
Time zone
Europe/Prague

These are saved pre-match estimates, not live odds. Missing form, line-up and xG data are not replaced with invented statistics.

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